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Warming is due to the Urban Heat Island Effect

已有 4907 次阅读 2009-3-22 11:35 |个人分类:热岛效应|系统分类:观点评述| Urban, Heat, Island

Warming is due to the Urban Heat Island Effect

Category: sceptic guide
Posted on: February 25, 2006 5:02 PM, by coby
原文引自:http://scienceblogs.com/illconsidered/2006/02/warming-due-to-urban-heat-island.php

This is just one of dozens of responses to common climate change denial arguments, which can all be found at How to Talk to a Climate Sceptic.



Objection:

The apparent rise of global average temperatures is actually an illusion due to the urbanization of land around weather stations, the Urban Heat Island effect.

 

Answer:

Urban Heat Island Effect has been examined quite thoroughly and simply found to have a negligible effect on temperature trends. Real Climate has a detailed discussion of this here. What's more, NASA GISS takes explicit steps in their analysis to remove any such spurious signal by normalizing urban station data trends to the surrounding rural stations.  It is a real phenomenon, but it is one climate scientists are well  aware of and have taken any required steps to remove its influence from the raw data.

But heavy duty data analysis and statistical processing aside, a little common sense and a couple of pertinent images should put this idea to bed.  Here is an image, taken from Astronomy Picture of the Day (a wonderful site, by the way), of the surface of the earth.  It is a composite of hundreds of satellite images all taken at night.  (The large version is well worth the download time!)

Aside from being very beautiful, it is a perfect indicator of urbanization on earth. As you can see, the greatest urbanization is over the continental United States, Europe, India, Japan, Eastern China and generally coastal South America.

This next image was taken from NASA GISS. It is a global surface temperature anomaly map which shows warming (and infrequently, cooling) by region.

 Look at North America, look at Europe, at Asia, Australia, Africa and the Poles and compare them to the urbanization in the image from APOD. There is quite simply no way to discern any correlation whatsoever between urbanization and warming.  If the UHI effect were the cause of warming in the globally averaged record, we would see it in this map.

The claim that Global Warming is an artefact of Urban Heat Island Effect is simply an artefact of the Urban Myth Effect.

Addendum: Wikipedia has a very good article on this subject. Among all the interesting details it mentions a few papers that directly discuss efforts to identify and quantify UHI influences on the global temperature trend including this one which would be a good one to cite:

A 2003 paper ("Assessment of urban versus rural in situ surface temperatures in the contiguous United States: No difference found"; J climate; Peterson; 2003) indicates that the effects of the urban heat island may have been overstated, finding that "Contrary to generally accepted wisdom, no statistically significant impact of urbanization could be found in annual temperatures." This was done by using satellite-based night-light detection of urban areas, and more thorough homogenisation of the time series (with corrections, for example, for the tendency of surrounding rural stations to be slightly higher, and thus cooler, than urban areas). As the paper says, if its conclusion is accepted, then it is necessary to "unravel the mystery of how a global temperature time series created partly from urban in situ stations could show no contamination from urban warming." The main conclusion is that micro- and local-scale impacts dominate the meso-scale impact of the urban heat island: many sections of towns may be warmer than rural sites, but meteorological observations are likely to be made in park "cool islands."

If necessary, be sure to refer to all the other ways we know that the global warming trend is not an artefact of anything, it is real.

 


This is just one of dozens of responses to common climate change denial arguments, which can all be found at How to Talk to a Climate Sceptic.

 


"Warming Due to Urban Heat Island Effect" was first published here, where you can still find the original comment thread. This updated version is also posted on the Grist website, where additional comments can be found, though the author, Coby Beck, does not monitor or respond there.

 

Comments

I feel embarrassed for the people who are still buying into this absurd "man-made" global warming propaganda. The evidence disproving it is abundant and far stronger than the "evidence" "proving" people are causing global warming. Do yourself a big favor before you continue to stick your foot in your mouth. Go to "Co2 science dot org".

Posted by: Ed Smith, Palm Springs, CA | November 19, 2008 7:16 PM

Ed, I am familiar with CO2 science. How about sharing something specific that you find particularily convincing.

Posted by: coby | November 19, 2008 7:40 PM

Ed, you can keep your embarrassment for yourself mate, you're gonna need it in truck loads as the coming years unfold and you re-read the pathetic, naive, uneducated posts, typified by the one above, that lie in your past. Do yourself a favour man and at least try to understand how science works. As Coby has requested (and you've notably failed to acknowldege), point out where the CO2 science is in error and only you, in your undoubted genius, have spotted it..... Didn't think so.

Posted by: Matt Bennett | February 22, 2009 10:15 PM

While you're at it, take a break from Real Climate. They've descended into attacking anyone who disagrees with a barrage of pithy comments rather than data sets and validated reconstructions, and more often their links (like the UHI links) don't go anywhere useful, like when they link to Nature, and the link tells you you can't read the article.

Posted by: Sideline Observer | March 3, 2009 8:43 PM

Whups -

[Whups comment was deleted because he insists on posting under different pseudonyms. I might have left it if I had seen Adam's response first!]

That paper is indeed valid. Unfortunately for you, it doesn't say what you think it says. I was going to respond to your comment, but it's been done before, and more thoroughly than I would have, so I'll just link instead. Using that exact paper:
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Does-Urban-Heat-Island-effect-add-to-the-global-warming-trend.html

or a reporter who contacted one of the authors:
http://www.sciencenews.org/view/generic/id/36231/title/Dont_blame_the_cities

Your comment shows the dangers of taking a single sentence fragment from the abstract out of context and using that as the basis of your argument.

And before you reference the Watts Up With That post, he's committing two major errors.
1) The same as you, taking a single statement from the abstract out of context.
2) Comparing apples to oranges in his chart. He compares the temperature in two separate locations as if anyone cares what the difference in actual temperature is between those two locations. We're interested in the trend at each location, NOT the actual difference between the two (it's well established and accounted for that it's a bit warmer in the city center as opposed to the outskirts).
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/18/finally-an-honest-quantification-of-urban-warming-by-a-major-climate-scientist/

Posted by: Adam | March 18, 2009 4:56 PM

I can see it now;

"Climate change causing urban areas to warm faster than rural areas and even faster than models predicted"

Posted by: Crakar14 | March 18, 2009 8:45 PM

I can see it now;

"Climate change causing urban areas to warm faster than rural areas and even faster than models predicted"

Here is the same story from WUWT;

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/18/finally-an-honest-quantification-of-urban-warming-by-a-major-climate-scientist/

Posted by: Crakar14 | March 18, 2009 9:17 PM



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