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预测苏州工业能耗[Appl. Sci.专栏第五篇发表论文]

已有 2461 次阅读 2022-12-11 01:54 |系统分类:科研笔记

我在Applied Sciences(综合性、交叉性期刊,CiteScore=3.70IF=2.84)组织了一个Special Issue,大题目是“大数据分析进展”,比较宽泛。该专栏的推出主要是为了回应因为可获取数据和数据分析的平台、工具的快速增长给自然科学和社会科学带来的重大影响。我们特别欢迎(但不限于)下面四类稿件:(1)数据分析中的基础理论分析,例如一个系统的可预测性(比如时间序列的可预测性)、分类问题的最小误差分析、各种数据挖掘结果的稳定性和可信度分析;(2)数据分析的新方法,例如挖掘因果关系的新方法(这和Topic 1也是相关的)、多模态分析的新方法、隐私计算的新方法等等;(3)推出新的、高价值的数据集、数据分析平台、数据分析工具等等;(4)把大数据分析的方法用到自然科学和社会科学的各个分支(并获得洞见),我们特别喜欢用到那些原来定量化程度不高的学科。

投稿链接:https://www.mdpi.com/journal/applsci/special_issues/75Y7F7607U 

投稿截止时期为20221220日,我们处理稿件非常快,欢迎大家投稿支持。


其中第五篇论文已经正式发表:

Prediction of Suzhou’s Industrial Power Consumption Based on Grey Model with Seasonal Index Adjustment

Abstract

The accurate prediction of industrial power consumption is conducive to the effective allocation of power resources by power and energy institutions, and it is also of great significance for the construction and planning of the national grid. By analyzing the characteristics of the data of Suzhou’s industrial power consumption between 2003 and 2005, this paper proposes a grey model with a seasonal index adjustment to predict industrial power consumption. The model results are compared with the traditional grey model, as well as the real value of Suzhou’s industrial power consumption, which shows that our model is more suitable for the prediction of industrial power consumption. The lasted Suzhou’s industrial power consumption data, from 2019–2021, are also investigated, and the results show that the prediction results are in very good agreement with the real data. The highlights of the paper are that all precision inspection indexes are excellent and the seasonal fluctuations in the data changes can be reflected in the present model.

论文免费下载链接:

https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/24/12669 

    




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