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2009复杂社会经济系统危机workshop的视频(Complex Socio-Economic Systems)

已有 4375 次阅读 2010-1-16 18:07 |个人分类:未分类|系统分类:论文交流| 社会经济系统workshop

社会经济中存在诸多危机,包括恐怖袭击,社会冲突,金融危机等等大规模事件,自然科学基金委员会发布的重大研究计划:非常规突发事件的应急管理也与之存在密切的关系。2009年,这些大牛聚集在Zurich招开了一个workshop讨论了社会经济系统中的危机及其引导控制机制。看看大牛的演讲的同时,也看看他们长什么样子。O(∩_∩)O哈哈~

下面列举了几个感兴趣的报告,供大家欣赏。

 

(青年才俊Clauset)Dynamics of Terrorist Groups

author: Aaron Clauset, Santa Fe Institute

Description

http://videolectures.net/ccss09_clauset_dotg/

(要冲波尔兹曼奖的Havlin)Efficient Immunization Approaches to Avoid Epidemic Spreading

author: Shlomo Havlin, Department of Physics, Bar-Ilan University

Description

 

 

We will show how methods based on statistical physics and complex networks approaches may help to predict the appearing of crises such as epidemics. These methods also suggest efficient immunization strategies to coop with such crises. The epidemics could occur in social systems as well as in communication networks such computers or cellphones. The methods are based on the percolation theory approach which is extended to complex networks to include more realistic scenarios, such as the limited time of epidemics or the dynamical nature of links. Questions such as how to identify the most crucial spreaders and giving a limited amount of immunization doses, how to prioritize the recipients? will be also discussed.

http://videolectures.net/ccss09_havlin_eiataes/

 

(Guido)Statistical Properties of Credit Networks

author: Guido Caldarelli, Centre for Statistical Mechanics and Complexity, National Institute For Matter Physiscs

(Stanley)Economic Fluctuations and Statistical Physics: Quantifying Extremely Rare and Much Less Rare Events

author: Eugene Stanley, Department of Physics, Boston University

Description

http://videolectures.net/ccss09_stanley_efasp/

 

(重点推荐:社会网络链接模式)The Role of Tie Strength in the Cohesion of the Society: A Tribute to Mark Granovetter

author: János Kertész, Institute of Physics, Department of Computer Science and Information Theory, Budapest University of Technology and Economics

Description

Electronic databases, from phone to emails logs, currently provide detailed records of human communication patterns, offering novel avenues to map and explore the structure of social and communication networks. We examine the communication patterns of millions of mobile phone users, allowing us to simultaneously study the local and the global structure of a society-wide communication network. We observe a coupling between interaction strengths and the networks local structure, and conclude that social networks are robust to the removal of the strong ties, but fall apart following a phase transition if the weak ties are removed. We show that this coupling significantly slows the diffusion process, resulting in dynamic trapping of information in communities, and find that when it comes to information diffusion, weak and strong ties are for different reasons both simultaneously ineffective. Using the aggregate records of a mobile phone service provider about private voice calls of more than 4 million users we construct over 18 weeks a weighted network of interactions where the tie strength is taken proportional to the total duration of the calls. We introduce a measure of the link overlap and show that nodes (i.e., people) with strong links have a large friendship overlap. This way we prove for the first time the Granovetter hypothesis about the strength of weak ties at a societal scale. The network has a strongly modular structure with highly wired communities with strong ties, which are connected by weak links. A global consequence of this structure is that the network connectedness is resilient against removal of strong links while it falls apart whenthe weak links are cancelled. The intimate relationship between link weights and topology has strong influence on the dynamic properties of the network. Using the simplest diffusive spreading dynamics we demonstrated that the probability of getting new information (or, alternatively, getting infected) via a strong or weak link is low, in most cases links with an intermediate strength play the role of the transmitter. In order to understand the peculiar interplay between topology and link weights we constructed a model of the social network. The model has strong simplifications and is based on elementary steps of link formation and tie strengthening. We deal with a constant number of nodes. In order to reach stationarity time to time a node is eliminated and, at the same time, a new one without any connections is born. Links are created either at random (with very low probability), or using already existing links (friends of friends get friends). An important element of the model is that whenever a link is used, there is a strengthening effect, described by a parameter σ. The resulting network describes well the qualitative features of the call network, including the strength of the weak ties and the trapping effect.

http://videolectures.net/ccss09_kertesz_trots/

(花心男人Herrmann)Robustness of Social Networks

author: Hans J. Herrmann, Institute for Building Materials, Department of Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, ETH Zurich

Description

Networks typically cease to be operational when they fall apart in disconnected pieces. This can be desired as in the case of criminal networks or should be avoided for instance in the case of communication systems. Destruction can happen randomly of due to a malicious attack. I will present various strategies of optimizing the robustness of networks preserving their degree distribution. A novel topology emerges. Applications to power networks, botnets, road systems and brain models will be discussed.

http://videolectures.net/ccss09_herrmann_rosn/

 

 

 

 

 



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