Safemetrics分享 http://blog.sciencenet.cn/u/jerrycueb 以勤奋、谦虚、严谨、规范、持久的习惯和态度做安全科学研究。 'Wonder en is gheen Wonder'

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黑天鹅

已有 789 次阅读 2024-5-22 23:01 |个人分类:知识图谱|系统分类:科研笔记

Two people walk through many white swans before bumping into a black swan. One claims it was obvious all along.

A fisherman illustrates the parable of the fishing net by concluding a minimum size of fish because they never see any smaller in their nets — you get what you measure

VUCA illustration: Examples of Volatility (a stock-like chart), Complexity (a circuit-like confusion), Uncertainty (a direction splitting into 3) and a person sweating over Ambiguity (a Necker cube).