论文50：『Long-Term Economic Growth under Environmental Pressure: An Optimal Path』, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance (Elsevier), 59(1), 2016, 15-24.

摘要：This paper presents a model, based on the advance-retreat course (ARC) model (Dai et al. 2013a, 2013b), of long-term economic growth under environmental pressure. The model is used to explain economic convergence and divergence; construct an optimal long-term growth model for basic, emerging and real total output; derive an optimal growth accounting equation; indicate the optimal paths of long-term growth and economic structure change; analyze empirically the growth for U.S. and China. Among the findings are that emerging industries contribute significantly to real output in the long term; that economic diversification can increase real output and promote long-term growth. The paper suggests policy orientations that are needed to avoid economic collapse.

附件：Long-term Economic Growth under Environmental Pressure.pdf

说明：这里借助科学网平台，以时间为主线，陆续推送戴锋（独立或第一作者）曾经在国内外期刊及重要会议发表的部分学术论文（或摘要），欢迎读者批评指正。由于涉及期刊及其出版商的版权权益，这里只给出本文的摘要和目录，敬请原谅。有兴趣的读者，可以通过文献标识码（DOI：10.1016/j.qref.2015.03.008）或网址（https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2015.03.008），进一步查询阅读。

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