|
Draft: 25 Feb 2020, Version 1: 8 Mar 2020, Version 2: 24 Mar, Version 3: 26 Mar, Version 4: 28 Mar (current)
Interim Summary of COVID-19
Xiu-Ju George Zhao Ph.D.1,2
1Team of Neonatal &Infant Development, Health and Nutrition NDHN, School of Biology and Pharmaceutical Engineering, Wuhan Polytechnic University
Biological and Chemical Building Room 512, 1 South Park Road, Changqing Garden, Wuhan, Hubei 430023, P. R. China
2 School of Health Sciences, Wuhan University 430071
Tel. and Fax: +862783956793
E-mail: dzrdez@163.com
Word Count: 563
Since the outbreak of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) [1-5], the number of total confirmed cases worldwide was 214 002 (China81 237, Hubei 67 707, Wuhan 49 912), and of those, 8 837 died (China3 250, Hubei 3 130, Wuhan 2 496), as of 18 March 2020 [Table 1, Figure 1]. The number of daily new confirmed cases from 12 February to now outside Hubei was less than the number of new recovered, the number of new confirmed from 15 February to now outside Wuhan was less than the number of new recovered, and the number of new confirmed from 20 February to now in Wuhan was less than the number of new recovered [new confirmed in Wuhan on 18 March: 0]. 19 SARS-CoV-2 test products were approved, and more than 200 clinical trials were being carried out. Favipiravir was approved, and chloroquine phosphate and arbidol were recommended in the sixth and seventh version ofChina's COVID-19 treatment protocol. The scale of Wuhan's hospital beds peaked seventy thousand. However, 3 019 medical staff were infected (1 716 confirmed, 5 deaths). In late January and the first half of February, there was a shortage of medical materials, and the participation rate of Chinese medicine was below 40% in Wuhan, Hubei. The public health system focused on prevention rather than emergency response. The coordination of scientific research, clinical trails and disease prevention and control was not enough. The basic research on infectious pathogens was weak and unsustainable. It needs systematic and multidisciplinary integration to form a public health system from top to the bottom vertically (wildlife [agriculture and forestry] - pathogenic organisms [medical biology] - infectious diseases and treatment [clinical medicine and pharmacy]), and from edge to edge horizontally [statistics - economics - medicine - social management].
The public health system focusing on prevention & control and emergency response of infectious diseases is the core content of World Health Organization and Health China Action, and also of the health security system. Improving the supply quality and scientific research in public health may promote the efficient and sustainable development of economy (30% of the investment in road is converted into Gross Domestic Product; 60% of the investment in health care is converted into GDP; the increase of medical facilities and personnel has a leverage effect). An independent public health system built by a central or federal government is a strong guarantee for a nation in the face of particularly major public health emergencies. Infectious diseases are the common disasters of mankind. In the short term, the international community should combine western and traditional medicines targeting efficacy and real world, combat against unproved statements (e.g. American soldiers with malaria attending Wuhan Military World Game in October 2019, carried SARS-CoV-2 in the incubation period) and refer to China owing to its leading role in the experience of fighting COVID-19 (Table 2, Figure 2). In the long run, the world should UNITE as the Community of Shared Future for Mankind, CONSERVE the ecological balance and biodiversity, TUNE the preparedness and control of infectious diseases and socioeconomic developments, STRENGTHEN the capacity of public health colleges and research institutions, INTEGRATE economics, statistics, artificial intelligence, biology, agriculture, medicine and management, and LINK research institutions, hospitals and centers for disease prevention and control. "We are waves of the same sea, leaves of the same tree, flower of the same garden." (Seneca)
Competing interest statement: No.
It was not appropriate or possible to involve patients or the public in the design, or conduct, or reporting, or dissemination plans of our research.
Dissemination to study participants and or patient organisations is not applicable.
References
1. National Health Commission. http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/yqtb/202003/0fc43d6804b04a4595a2eadd846c0a6e.shtml. 19 March, 2020
2. World Health Organization. https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019. 19 March, 2020
3. Xintian Xu, et al. Evolution of the novel coronvirus from ongoing Wuhan outbreak and modeling of its spike protein for risk of human transmission. Sci Chin Life Sci. 2020, 63: 457-460. DOI: 10.1007/s11427-020-1637-5
4. Chaolin Huang, et al. Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronvirus in WuhanChina. Lancet 2020,395(10223):497-506. DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30183-5.
Na Zhu, et al. A novel coronvirus from patients with pneumonia inChina, 2019. N Engl J Med. 2020,382(8):727-733. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001017
Table 1. COVID-19 global pandemic report.
Territory | Active Cases | Total Confirmed | Total Deaths | Total Recovered |
Globe | 121 260 | 214 022 | 8 837 | 83 925 |
OutsideChina | 113 820 | 132 785 | 5 587 | 13 378 |
China | 7 440 | 81 237 | 3 250 | 70 547 |
Hubei | 6 992 | 67 800 | 3 130 | 57 678 |
Wuhan | 6 744 | 50 005 | 2 496 | 40 765 |
Europe | 80 477 | 89 368 | 4 100 | 4 791 |
Asia | 29 729 | 112 750 | 4 569 | 78 452 |
N. America | 8 588 | 8 804 | 130 | 86 |
S. America | 1 182 | 1 194 | 9 | 3 |
Oceania | 567 | 616 | 6 | 43 |
Africa | 520 | 578 | 16 | 42 |
Diamond | 197 | 712 | 7 | 508 |
Data as of 18 March, 2020; UTC+8. Source: Ali Health.
Table 2. Timeline of COVID-19
Management and others | Date | Science and technology |
Winter2019 | US: Seasonal influenza | |
26Dec2019 | Collecting COVID-19 specimen | |
30Dec2019 | Testing COVID-19 specimen | |
2Jan2020 | Identifying the pathogen | |
3Jan2020 | 1st version of COVID-19 treatment protocol | |
5Jan2020 | Isolating SARS-CoV2; Sequencing | |
10Jan2020 | Releasing the genome | |
11Jan2020 | Submission to WHO | |
Wuhan command center established | 20Jan2020 | COVID-19 as category B and category A management |
21Jan2020 | Remdesivir patent application for COVID-19 by Wuhan Institute of Virology | |
Hubei level 2 emergency response | 22Jan2020 | 3rd version of COVID-19 treatment protocol |
Wuhan lockdown 3 provinces level 1 emergency | 23Jan2020 | Wuhan Huo Shen Shan Hospital constructed |
15 provinces level 1 emergency including Hubei | 24Jan2020 | |
12 provinces level 1 emergency | 25Jan2020 | Wuhan Lei Shen Shan Hospital constructed |
Extension of vacation to 2 Feb | 26Jan2020 | 4 SARS-CoV-2 test kits approved |
27Jan2020 | 4th version of COVID-19 treatment protocol; US COVID-19 discharge treated by Remdesivir | |
28Jan2020 | 2 SARS-CoV-2 test kits approved | |
Last province level 1 emergency | 30Jan2020 | WHO: Public Health Emergency of International Concerns |
31Jan2020 | 1 SARS-CoV-2 test kit approved | |
Extension of vacation in Hubei to 13 Feb; CNY 300b re-lending | 1Feb2020 | |
2Feb2020 | Huo Shen Shan Hospital operated: 1k beds for severe COVID-19 patients | |
4Feb2020 | 5th version of COVID-19 treatment protocol | |
WHO: USD 675m needed for preparedness and response | 5Feb2020 | Huo-Yan Laboratory test capacity: 10k 3 module hospitals operated: 4 400 beds |
7Feb2020 | 11k plus medical experts aid Wuhan incl. 3k ICU experts. Of ICU patients, 60+ years account for 85% | |
11Feb2020 | COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2 named | |
18Feb2020 | 6th version of COVID-19 treatment protocol | |
22Feb2020 | 3 SARS-CoV-2 test kits approved | |
24Feb2020 | Press conference of WHO-China joint mission on COVID-19 | |
27Feb2020 | 4 SARS-CoV-2 test kits approved | |
3Mar2020 | 7th version of COVID-19 treatment protocol | |
4Mar2020 | WHO: decision on deleting "people should not use traditional medicines" | |
6Mar2020 | 1 SARS-CoV-2 test kit approved | |
11Mar2020 | 1 SARS-CoV-2 test kit approved WHO: COVID-19 pandemic US CDC: some Americans died from influenza were tested positive SARS-CoV-2 | |
12Mar2020 | 1 SARS-CoV-2 test kit approved | |
WHO: COVID-19 Solidarity Response Fund | 13Mar2020 | |
16Mar2020 | 2 SARS-CoV-2 test kits approved | |
Lockdown: 11 nations | 17Mar2020 | |
Emergency: 43 nations | 18Mar2020 |
UTC+8.
Figure 1. Omitted.
Chinese medicine | ||
Chinese medicines Module hospital in Wuhan Confirmed Converted to severe | With JiangXia 564 0 | Without Another 330 32 cases |
Lung Cleaning and Detoxifying Decoction | Medical treatment periods, universal | 1261 confirmed: 1102 recovered, 29 negative , 71 alleviated |
Discharge followed up | Chinese medicine 2.77 % positive (n=325) | VC and VE placebo 15.79 % (n=95) |
Confirmation rate of suspected cases in isolation centers | 90 % on 28 Jan Intervention on 2 Feb | 30% on 6 Feb 3% on 5 Mar |
Isolation, social distancing | ||
Wuhan lockdown ~ 60 days | Hubei lockdown 57 days | Other provinces lockdown ~ 30 days |
Non-touch dining | Internet learning or video conference with ~ 10 m persons | |
Disruptive technologies | Artificial intelligence, block chain, cloud computation, big data | |
Health quick response code by Ali or WeChat for checking | District-specific control strategy | |
Unmanned aerial vehicle | Medical robots | Negative pressure isolation ambulance |
Infrared thermometer | 4G Intelligent Helmet | Alert-alignment-search-feedback circuit |
Devotion, collaboration | ||
ECMOs: Wuhan 80, Hubei 100 (China 400, globe 1200) | 42k medical experts aiding Hubei | |
CNY150b investment | CNY800b loss | CNY6b donation (Hubei, 15 Mar) |
13 Module hospitals in Wuhan: Communities, 12k confirmed mild/moderate cases, 5 Feb - 10 Mar | ||
Joint prevention and control mechanism, whole transportation-quarantine-sorting-treat-isolation | ||
Mutual aids e.g. Italy-China,Japan-China, Czechia-China, WHO-China; WE ARE TOGETHER. |
Figure 2. Characteristics ofChina's treating COVID-19
Archiver|手机版|科学网 ( 京ICP备07017567号-12 )
GMT+8, 2024-11-24 04:21
Powered by ScienceNet.cn
Copyright © 2007- 中国科学报社