According to how nations’ scientific output have increased during the period 2003-2010 (top 50), we propose the following forecasting exercise (PDF), we will use this data to obtain a prediction not necessarily realistic, but anyhow suggestive, of the scientific output scenario for 2018.

Forecasting exercise: How World Scientific Output will be in 2018

April 11, 2012

http://www.scimagolab.com/blog/2012/forecasting-exercise-how-world-scientific-output-will-be-in-2018/

详细数据见 forecasting-excercise 2018.pdf

Forecasting exercise How World Scientific Output will be in 2018 - Scimago Lab Blog.mht

sir_2012_world_report.pdf