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[请教] ECMWF 风速预报误差的具体含义

已有 745 次阅读 2018-7-23 23:45 |系统分类:科研笔记| ECMWF, 欧洲中期天气预报中心, 风速, 风向, 误差

[请教] ECMWF 风速预报误差的具体含义

            

https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/catalogue/plwww_m_hr_wp_ts?facets=undefined&time=2018022300&parameter=10m%20wind%20speed

里有图片

Verification of the high-resolution forecast of surface parameters against SYNOP.png

Verification of the high-resolution forecast of surface parameters

Verification of the high-resolution forecast of surface parameters against SYNOP observations.

                

不太明白什么意思?

敬请赐教的问题在《ECMWF(欧洲中期天气预报中心)的预报误差》。

            

目前又找到了 Thomas Haiden 先生的报告

《Progress in wind forecasting in the ECMWF model》

http://www.ewea.org/events/workshops/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/EWEA-Wind-Power-Forecasting-2015-Workshop-02-01-Thomas-Haiden-ECMWF.pdf

里面的6页为:


Point forecasterrorsin Europe, 10-m wind: verification against SYNOP

还是不太明白。请问该图细节里的误差含义:


感谢!

相关链接:

[1] Thomas Haiden, PRINCIPAL SCIENTIST

https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/who-we-are/staff-profiles/thomas-haiden#undefined

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Thomas_Haiden

[2] Thomas Haiden, Progress in wind forecasting in the ECMWF model

http://www.ewea.org/events/workshops/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/EWEA-Wind-Power-Forecasting-2015-Workshop-02-01-Thomas-Haiden-ECMWF.pdf

[3] Verification of the high-resolution forecast of surface parameters against SYNOP observations

https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/catalogue/plwww_m_hr_wp_ts?facets=undefined&time=2018062300&parameter=10m%20wind%20speed

[4] 2018-03-03,ECMWF(欧洲中期天气预报中心)的预报误差

http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-107667-1102078.html

[5] 2017-07-13,[请教] 当前 NWP 风速预报的典型误差是多少?

http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-107667-1066108.html

[6] 2016-02-29,[求助] 风力发电机的风速、风向、功率 3 个对应时间的时间序列

http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-107667-959494.html

             

感谢您的指教!

感谢您指正以上任何错误!

感谢您提供更多的相关资料!



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