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又过去了10年,回过头再来看未来学的两个基本定理,不能不服!

已有 1181 次阅读 2020-2-26 19:20 |个人分类:生活点滴|系统分类:人物纪事| 未来学定律, 梦想20年内心想事成

重大决定作出后5年以内不会产生重大影响;

能坚持到底的梦想20年内几乎都能心想事成。

-邹晓辉Geneculture

回顾10年前的这页博文(历史记录就在于它不会人云亦云):

The Study of the Future(从27年前读的《未来学入门》至今)

2010-10-24 10:23 阅读:1837 屏蔽

从27年前读的《未来学入门》至今,一直想把该书的英文原著也找到,然后做一个系统的中英双语对照的读本。最近,在指导年轻教师、研究生和本科生做英语原著阅读的过程中,一系列的事情又触发自己想到了这个愿望可能以一种崭新的方式或途径来实现。于是,再一次翻阅了自己当年细读过的这本小书《未来学入门》。并且,进一步从国际互联网上找到了其英文原著The Study of the Future: An Introduction to the Art and Science of Understanding and Shaping Tomorrow's World》,还有该书作者的新著《Futuring: The Exploration of the Future》。

 

附录1:未来学入门

作者  柯尼施;孟广均,黄明鲁   
出版地  北京   
出版社  知识出版社  
出版时间  1983.07  
页数  196页

附录2:The Study of the Future: An Introduction to the Art and Science of Understanding and Shaping Tomorrow's World

by Edward Cornish 

Paperback: 310 pages

Publisher: Transaction Publishers (January 1, 1977)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0930242033

ISBN-13: 978-0930242039

http://www.amazon.com/Edward-Cornish/e/B001KCS5GS/ref=ntt_athr_dp_pel_1

http://www.nextag.com/The-Study-of-the-1294799/write-reviews-html

http://www.amazon.com/Study-Future-Introduction-Understanding-Tomorrows/dp/0930242033/ref=pd_rhf_p_t_2

http://www.ccebook.net/preview/0930242033/The-Study-of-the-Future-An-Introduction-to-the-Art-and-Science-of-Understanding-

附录3:Futuring: The Exploration of the Future

by Edward Cornish 

  • Paperback: 313 pages

  • Publisher: World Future Society; 1 edition (October 3, 2005)

  • Language: English

  • ISBN-10: 0930242610

  • ISBN-13: 978-0930242619

 

Edward Cornish is the founder of the World Future Society and editor of its flagship publication, THE FUTURIST magazine.

Mr. Cornish has been a student and proponent of futures studies for nearly five decades. He became interested in the impact of science and technology on human life while working as a National Geographic magazine science writer in the late 1950s. In 1966, he published a six-page newsletter consisting of brief reports on books and activities related to the future. Favorable response encouraged him to contemplate an association for people interested in forecasts and social and technological change. The World Future Society was officially launched in October 1966 with the support of comprehensive designer Buckminster Fuller, Nobel Prize winning chemist Glenn T. Seaborg, former U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Orville Freeman, and many other futurist thinkers. The first issue of THE FUTURIST appeared in early 1967.

As a futurist, he has served as an advisor for three U.S. presidents, co-authored a report by the White House’s National Goals Research Staff, and served as chief investigator of future studies for the National Science Foundation and the Library of Congress. Mr. Cornish penned "Your Changing World," a weekly syndicated column, from 1984 to 1986.

Mr. Cornish is the author of The Study of the Future: An Introduction to the Art and Science of Understanding and Shaping Tomorrow’s World (1977) and has written and edited many publications for the World Future Society. He lives in Bethesda, Maryland.

http://www.wfs.org/cornishbio.htm





http://www.amazon.com/Futuring-Exploration-Future-Edward-Cornish/dp/0930242610/ref=ntt_at_ep_dpt_1

转载本文请联系原作者获取授权,同时请注明本文来自邹晓辉科学网博客。

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3 条评论邹晓辉赞未来学的研究内容分为基础理论和应用研究两大部分
http://www.upicture.com.cn/Knowledge/nPost/nPost_10977.htm 
博主回复:
What is a futurist? Futurists are those who look to and provide analysis of the future.
http://www.accelerationwatch.com/futuristdef.html 

2010-10-24 12:45回复删除
邹晓辉赞Information and knowledge are replacing capital and energy as the primary wealth-creating assets, just as the latter two replaced land and labor 200 years ago. In addition, technological developments in the 20th century have transformed the majority of wealth-creating work from physically-based to "knowledge-based". Technology and knowledge are now the key factors of production. With increased mobility of information and the global work force, knowledge and expertise can be transported instantaneously around the world, and any advantage gained by one company can be eliminated by competitive improvements overnight. The only comparative advantage a company will enjoy will be its process of innovation--combining market and technology know-how with the creative talents of knowledge workers to solve a constant stream of competitive problems--and its ability to derive value from information. We are now an information society in a knowledge economy where knowledge management is essential. This page lists and rates Internet resources related to the field of knowledge based economy and knowledge management in the new information society.

http://www.enterweb.org/know.htm 

博主回复:
Resources for Futures Research 
http://jan.ucc.nau.edu/~rdr/Ant547/ftrrcrcs.htm 

2010-10-24 12:41回复删除
邹晓辉赞How THE FUTURIST Was Born 
The World Future Society's Emergence from Dream to Reality 
The World Future Society’s First Conference 
Futuring and World Peace 
Adventures in Organization Building: Adding Star Power to Futuring 
Future Shock and the Magic of the Future 
http://www.wfs.org/node/246
博主回复:
Northern Arizona University
Futures Forum
Resources for Futures Research 
http://jan.ucc.nau.edu/~rdr/Ant547/ftrrcrcs.htm 




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