坚持就是胜利，科学家任何时候都有可能成功

But a study published this week in Nature offers hope for those still waiting (L. Liu et al. Nature https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0315-8; 2018). It examines the occurrence of hot streaks — runs of high-impact works — in the oeuvres of tens of thousands of film-makers, artists and scientists. It finds that most careers contain at least one relatively hot streak, and that this occurs at an apparently random stage in an individual’s sequence of works.

The good news is that around 90% of artists and scientists have at least one such hot streak in their career. The bad news is that it’s typically not repeated: 64% of artists and 68% of scientists have only one, and more than two is very rare. 

见：

From artists to scientists, anyone can have a successful streak at any time

From artists to scientists, anyone can have a successful streak at any time 

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-05682-0?WT.ec_id=NATURE-20180712&utm_source=nature_etoc&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=20180712&spMailingID=56980945&spUserID=MjM3NTkwNTQ2NzcxS0&spJobID=1441407842&spReportId=MTQ0MTQwNzg0MgS2