何毓琦的个人博客分享 http://blog.sciencenet.cn/u/何毓琦 哈佛(1961-2001) 清华(2001-date)

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More on Globalization, Technology Advance and voter revolt 精选

已有 8327 次阅读 2016-6-30 01:28 |个人分类:生活点滴|系统分类:海外观察

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I am gratified by the number of comments my last articleof the same title evoked. I learned a few things from the feedbacks. However,one issue regarding the question – “How come China does not seem to have the problems I mention in my last blog?” – requires a more detailed answer than I can provide in individual reply to comments.  This is the purpose of this post. So, here goes my rationale and opinion:

1.     China does not have an immigration problem. This is obvious to everyone.  Thus, one major source of irritation for a developed country such as the US  and UK is not present.

2.     Minorities in China are small localized group that do not threaten the 95% Han majority.

3.     China may have grown out of a pyramid population distribution but the population  is NOT a diamond shape distribution with a bulging middle class, at best the distribution  may be like a silo with a small top

4.     Furthermore, the newly enriched Chinese middle class are grateful for being lifted out of  poverty (all 350 million ofthem)  while the western middle class are spoiled and see  their American Dreams receding from reach due to technological advances.

5.     China since time immemorial respect scholarship. They tend to think the more educated  elites deserve to enjoy a better life while such respect are not usually given in the US.  As a result,the education level of the general public did not keep pace with technological advance and get left behind.

6.     China is not Beijing or Shanghai. Sure everything there is more modern and up-to-date than New York or London.Visitor to or even residents of these cities tend to get a  distorted view of the economic and living standard of the general Chinese population.   If you have traveled and lived all over China during WWII and the past 30+ year like  I did, you have a different view of the Chinese wealth. Further objective measure,  such as per capita income, support the view that China is a developing not developed  country.

7.     While China is dynamic and full of excitement for the future, she also has many  growth pains and issues – population size, gender distribution, and demography,  environment and pollution, and income inequality, which will occupy the attention of leaders and voters alike for a long time. There are no luxury of expressing voter anger. People accept the fact that the Chinese Dream cannot be realized overnight.

8.     The Chinese form of government does not allow voter anger to be easily expressed  through a national ballot box.

9.     Finally, voter tends to be emotional and cannot take the long view or understand  complex issues   such as the European Union.   We are all familiar with the   Churchillian wisdoms.

10.        The truly confident does not think China must be first in everything and does not get  upset over objective feedbacks even if negative but well intentioned. Otherwise,  why the outflow of capital by the super-rich and the outflow of talents to the US.

11.            China at present does not aspire to project her might all over the world as  the US and EU. Thus, she does not provoke the anger and attack by the terrorist  groups and third world countries.

12.          For these above reasons, I believe China is at present time experiencing  a perfectstorm of 天時,地利 ,人和that developed countries, like the UK, do notenjoy.  See http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-1565-462590.html in particularmy reply to comment [3].




https://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-1565-987605.html

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