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(For new reader and those who request 好友请求, please read my 公告栏 first).
Hedge Fund and The Current Money Crisis on Wall Street
James Simon, the former head of the Mathematic Department at SUNY, StonyBrook, is
arguably the best hedge fund manager on the Wall Street. In 2006 his personal income
was reported to be 1.6 Billon US dollars. In 2004, The business school of Tsinghua
University invited him to give a talk in Beijing. He chartered a private jet to fly him to
Beijing. Since according to Chinese Air traffic regulation, private jets require special
permission to land at the Beijing airport, a task he neglected to secure, his former
colleague, Professor C.N. Yang, had to personally intervene at the last minute to secure
the permission to land so that his talk can go ahead. I happened to be at Tsinghua at that
time and managed to attend his talk which was standing room only. This gives some
indications of his wealth, power, and standing.
More recently, the Wall Street crisis surrounding the US sub-prime mortgage business
and hedge funds brought the whole subject to the fore. Most of us ordinary people may
wonder what is this hedge fund business? In principle, hedge fund as the name originally
implies is actually a very conservative investment vehicle. Operated correctly, regardless
of stock market ups or downs, it cannot lose money. (Simon's talk in 2004 certainly
expounded on this principle). The basic idea is not that different from an insurance
company or a gambling casino. Based on statistical law, it transfers risk from one party to
another and collects a fee for managed this risk or on small statistical differences enjoyed
by a casino. Unfortunately, human greed is insatiable. As recent events reveal, most of
the hedge funds do not operate this way. Instead they operate very recklessly and using
"leverage" (or borrowed money) and taking huge risks to increase the yield of their fund.
They became gamblers themselves instead of being the gambling casinos. Many of their
investments were built on a "house of cards" rather than a solid statistical foundation.
When things do not go as they speculated, reverse leverage caused their ruins and
bankruptcies. (I have no information how the hedge fund run by Simon operates. But
CNBC, the US financial channel reported today that the Simon fund was down 7.5%
today)
I am not a stock market guru (see my blog on "my seven life lessons" 8/10/07) nor expert
on financial intricacies. However, I recommend a little book entitled "Extraordinary
popular delusions and the madness of crowds", Three River Press 1995, which catalogs
the great financial "busts" throughout history starting with the tulipomania in the 17th
century when one tulip bulb commanded the price of a house at one point. The hedge
fund mania of recent years is now revealed as but the latest example. Human greed never
learns and history repeats.
I understand the current Chinese stock market exhibits some of the same "bubble"
characteristics. Let us just hope not too many ordinary people get hurt the same way.
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